Friday, June 16, 2006

Indians 8, Yanks 4


Cabrera.142Myers.006
Williams.080Smith.006
Jeter.076Villone-.010
Crosby.059Small-.030
Phillips-.033Mussina-.231
Cano-.035
A-Rod-.114
Giambi-.115
Damon-.119
Posada-.180

(What's this?)

Tim McCarver: What happened out there?
Joe Cooper: Uh, well, you know, it was a team effort and I guess it took every player working together to lose this one.
-Baseketball

I did a good job of avoiding all Yankees-related talk all afternoon; I told most of the people in the office that I didn’t want the know the score, and that I’d be watching the game when I got home. I even grumbled at the thought of listening to music (music?!?) during my commute. Goddammit, absurd traffic time is Mike and the Mad Dog time!

So there I am, making pointless phone calls, and one of my coworkers blurts out, “man, Yankees are getting SLASHED!” I tried my hardest to blurt out, “don’t say anything!” but it came out something like, “doo doo daa daa, FUCK!” Complicating matters, while there is Flash on the computer I was at, it doesn’t work particularly well. Gameday was a mess, forcing me to click re-load a thousand times at CBS Sports Line.

[MORE]Not much you can really say about this one. Mussina was shaky and it caught up to him; A-Rod hit one when it didn’t much matter, and then flailed haplessly when he could have made the difference. I’ll restate my position: I am fully behind A-Rod. However, he deserves to be booed now. Self-admittedly, even:

"Right now, I stink," he said, "If you're going to write the worst article you want to write, today's a good day. Rip away. Rip away."


Of course, this is him putting up another wall of defense, which likely won’t help the situation. Not knowing Alex Rodriguez personally, and not having any formal psychiatric training, I fully believe that A-Rod’s slump will continue for at least another week. I’ll use my expertise to reassess the situation then.

Yes, there were others at fault, but I think those were the most noteworthy.

For a little more meat to today’s post, I’m going to post the Yankees Equivalency Averages (EqA). This is a rather advanced metric, so I’ll supply Clay Davenport’s explanation. However, this doesn’t cover the entirety of the EqA calculation; it just gets at the main idea. Mr. Davenport was kind enough to forward me a copy of the full calculations (complete with explanation). If any of you are interested enough, e-mail me and I’ll forward it along.

EqA takes all of a player’s raw statistics (hits, total bases, stolen bases, caught stealing, etc.), runs them through a series of calculations to put them in proportion, park adjusts, and then compares to the league average. Davenport explains it best:

What we will do next is to define an average team, given Wagner’s playing conditions. We’ll then replace one of those average players with Wagner, and calculate a winning percentage between the all-average team and the average plus Wagner team. The standardized output will preserve that winning percentage.


So here we go: Fun With EqA.

The Yankees are third in the Majors (.285) in EqA, trailing Cleveland by .003 and Toronto by .005. No. 4 is Boston, trailing the Yankees by .005.

Yankees EqA by Player

Name Team-Lg Pos Out PA EQA
JASON GIAMBI NY_-A 1B 134 242 .346
DEREK JETER NY_-A SS 158 271 .316
JORGE POSADA NY_-A C 122 210 .312
ALEX RODRIGUEZ NY_-A 3B 171 274 .298
JOHNNY DAMON NY_-A CF 183 283 .289
ROBINSON CANO NY_-A 2B 164 249 .273
GARY SHEFFIELD NY_-A RF 87 137 .286
HIDEKI MATSUI NY_-A LF 88 136 .278
MELKY CABRERA NY_-A LF 84 130 .259
KEVIN THOMPSON NY_-A RF 8 14 .339
BERNIE WILLIAMS NY_-A RF 143 206 .247
ANDY PHILLIPS NY_-A 1B 77 106 .252
BUBBA CROSBY NY_-A RF 32 45 .249
KEVIN REESE NY_-A OF 3 6 .332
RANDY JOHNSON NY_-A P 2 3 .239
AARON SMALL NY_-A P 2 2 .157
MIKE MUSSINA NY_-A P 2 2 .197
KELLY STINNETT NY_-A C 49 66 .212
MIGUEL CAIRO NY_-A SS 70 95 .214
TERRENCE LONG NY_-A RF 30 40 .165

Giambi’s .346 is good for second in the AL to Pronk (Travis Hafner’s retarded nickname). Jeter’s next at 12th, then Posada at 18th. A-Rod’s .298 is a mere .001 below David Ortiz’s mark (though I have no idea why we insist on perpetually comparing the two). Cano’s lack of walks and power compromises his EqA, and the same goes for his buddy Melky. Small Sample Size Warning: more Kevin Thompson, please? Oh, and in case you needed any further proof, Terrence Long is beyond terrible.

MLB Ranks by position:
Jorge – 3rd
Giambi – 2nd (to Pujols)
Cano – 9th
A-Rod – 6th
Jeter – 2nd
Melky –35th (lots of small sample size here; he’s actually behind Matsui, 27th)
Damon – 6th (the other NY center fielder is well ahead of him)
We don’t have a right fielder as far as I’m concerned, but for shits and giggles, Sheffield is 16th.

Take all this for what you will. I just happen to find it highly interesting data.