I shouldn't need much room for explanation here. I have stated my position on Pitt, and while I don't think Duke is an overly strong team this year, I think they can make it to the finals. J.J. and Shelden won't give up their senior years without an arduous fight.
On the other side, while UNC will be amped should they make the Final Four, I think 'Nova is looking to exact a bit of revenge on the team that ended their 2005 dreams.
Nova over Duke in the finals, furthering the Big East's resume of recent championships.